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2024-12-14 04:55:08

CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand. Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.


Tang Shikai, a member of the board of directors of Mercedes-Benz, will retire next year and is now in charge of the company's business in Greater China. Mercedes-Benz Group Co., Ltd. announced that Hubertus Troska, the current member of the board of directors in charge of the company's business in Greater China, will retire in 2025 as planned. He himself decided to take up a new position as a member of the board of directors of Mercedes-Benz Group Co., Ltd. and a special representative for China affairs from February 1, 2025 to promote the company's business system in the world's largest market. Tang Shikai will officially retire on July 31, 2025.The commander of Syrian democratic forces said that under the mediation of the US, Syrian rebels and Syrian democratic forces reached a ceasefire agreement in the northern city of Mambiji.*ST Hanma: The reorganization plan of the company and its five subsidiaries was approved by the court. On December 11, 2024, the company and its five subsidiaries, Anhui Valin Automobile Co., Ltd., Anhui Xingma Special Purpose Vehicle Co., Ltd., Anhui Fuma Automobile Parts Group Co., Ltd., Anhui Fuma Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. and Wuhu Fuma Automobile Parts Co., Ltd., received the court ruling, approved their reorganization plans and terminated the reorganization procedures, and then entered the implementation stage.


Trump said that he chose Andrew Feargus, Commissioner of the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC), as the FTC chairman.Analyst: There may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year. Tan Yiming, chief fixed income analyst of Minsheng Securities, said that there may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year, considering the supply pressure of government bonds, the restoration of credit supply and the provision of long-term stable low-cost funds for financial institutions.Jialiqi: It is planned to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 2.8 yuan every 10 shares. Jialiqi announced that it plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 2.8 yuan to all shareholders every 10 shares based on the company's existing total share capital of 82,975,500 shares, with a total cash dividend of RMB 23,233,100, accounting for 29.56% of the company's net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies in the first three quarters of 2024. No bonus shares will be paid this time, and the capital reserve fund will not be converted into share capital, and the remaining undistributed profits will be carried forward to the next year.

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